Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.635859 1.720998 1.808953 1.906781 2.012757 2.124327 2.250965
2026-02-01 1.457362 1.576470 1.704815 1.854102 2.023875 2.212019 2.437800
2026-02-08 1.319952 1.456803 1.608883 1.791817 2.007795 2.257097 2.570253
2026-02-15 1.230146 1.379773 1.550258 1.761112 2.018063 2.325314 2.727292
2026-02-22 1.169877 1.330460 1.517429 1.754391 2.051469 2.418369 2.917074
2026-03-01 1.111778 1.278795 1.476752 1.732822 2.061699 2.479398 3.066703
2026-03-08 1.042089 1.208706 1.408819 1.671684 2.015542 2.461815 3.106254
2026-03-15 1.004848 1.176089 1.384730 1.663453 2.035558 2.530391 3.267124
2026-03-22 0.995494 1.177149 1.402136 1.708593 2.127598 2.701166 3.587422
2026-03-29 0.969268 1.155289 1.388647 1.711418 2.161215 2.791575 3.796033
2026-04-05 0.948630 1.139426 1.381766 1.722041 2.205283 2.898740 4.039224
2026-04-12 0.925702 1.119455 1.368273 1.722372 2.233909 2.984055 4.254703
2026-04-19 0.893329 1.087584 1.339789 1.703575 2.238276 3.040031 4.440623
2026-04-26 0.857701 1.050368 1.302926 1.671596 2.221930 3.063937 4.577318
2026-05-03 0.818325 1.006765 1.255650 1.622400 2.176659 3.038550 4.624161
2026-05-10 0.789993 0.977022 1.226186 1.597355 2.166382 3.068265 4.774149
2026-05-17 0.770244 0.958156 1.210912 1.592042 2.185879 3.147847 5.027234
2026-05-24 0.747513 0.934355 1.187677 1.573557 2.183039 3.188863 5.209867
2026-05-31 0.715136 0.896240 1.142857 1.520635 2.121853 3.124423 5.171259
2026-06-07 0.698902 0.880064 1.128717 1.513511 2.134432 3.189945 5.410124
2026-06-14 0.697647 0.884697 1.144469 1.552662 2.225324 3.403120 5.999721
2026-06-21 0.685631 0.873681 1.136970 1.555112 2.254418 3.504987 6.358440
2026-06-28 0.676170 0.865963 1.133947 1.564313 2.295382 3.632638 6.800837